FICO and the National Bureau of Credit Histories (NBKI), have released data showing that Russian borrowers’ credit repayments for January 2013 were at the lowest level since October 2010. The FICO Credit Health Index fell 10 points to 109 on the scale, 2 points lower than October 2012 and 6 points lower than January 2012.
The FICO Credit Health Index measures the overall credit health of the country, based on the percentage of consumer loans and credit cards reported to NBKI that are delinquent by more than 60 days. Since January 2012, this “bad rate” has increased from around 7% to over 8%.
“The decline in repayments is largely due to the large number of new borrowers who are not as experienced at managing payments,” said Alexander Vikulin, CEO of NBKI. “Over the last year, the number of consumers in the NBKI database grew by 28 percent, to more than 60 million. The fall in the Index is not due to weak risk management on the part of Russian banks, which is generally at a very high level. If you look at the relationship between past-due consumer debt and potentially unrecoverable consumer debt, it has not changed since last quarter.”
“As the FICO Credit Health Index continues to decline, we advise lenders to actively communicate with borrowers who are missing payments,” said Evgeni Shtemanetyan, who directs FICO’s operations in Russia. “The Index has not fallen nearly as sharply as in 2008-2009, but it’s clear that new borrowers need careful monitoring as well as credit education.”
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